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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 23 February 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Mans
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
2 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 3 CANC
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
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Showing top 15 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.