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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 1 February 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.