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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 5 December 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Mans
1 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.