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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 4 December 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
0 : 3 FT
Palmeiras
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
2 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 30%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
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Showing top 5 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.