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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Saturday 26 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 29%
Draw 42%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
0 : 2 FT
Moreirense
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender
2 : 5 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#5 League One · England
Lincoln
2 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#7 League Two · England
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
2 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#9 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
3 : 2 FT
Deinze
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
3 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 0 FT
Girona
✓ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
3 : 0 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
0 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
4 : 0 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 4 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#19 League One · England
Rotherham
2 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Cesena
2 : 0 FT
Brescia
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.