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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Sunday 27 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Inter
4 : 4 FT
Juventus
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Monaco
✓ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Premier League · England
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 1 FT
KFUM Oslo
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
3 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
3 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
1 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
1 : 0 FT
Tottenham
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
0 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 2 FT
Rubin
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 3 FT
Internacional
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
1 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 34%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.