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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Tuesday 29 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
2 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 League One · England
Stockport County
4 : 1 FT
Reading
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#5 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Paris FC
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 1 FT
Cesena
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 56%
#11 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
3 : 2 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
3 : 0 FT
PAU
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 League One · England
Lincoln
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
0 : 3 FT
Caen
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 56%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Carrarese
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.