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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Friday 25 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
3 : 3 FT
Lorient
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
4 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 4 FT
Lommel United
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Championship · England
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 29%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
5 : 3 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
0 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Premier League · England
Leicester
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 26%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#18 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
0 : 2 FT
Sevilla
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.