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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Tuesday 22 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#2 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 League One · England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 League One · England
Stockport County
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 League One · England
Barnsley
2 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Notts County
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
#12 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#13 Championship · England
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#14 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Swansea
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 League Two · England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 League Two · England
Chesterfield
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#18 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 24%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.