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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Sunday 5 May 2024

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Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 5 May 2024. Chelsea vs West Ham (Chelsea over 1.5 goals) sits top on 82% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Chelsea over 1.5 goals 82%

✓ Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 78%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 81%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 58%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 80%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 56%

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG over 1.5 goals 78%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Ajman over 1.5 goals 75%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 70%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 70%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals 68%

Super League · China Shanghai Shenhua over 1.5 goals 65%

#10

Thai League 1 · Thailand Port FC over 1.5 goals 64%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Premier League · England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 62%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 62%

#13

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals 61%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

#14

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo over 1.5 goals 61%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#15

Serie B · Italy Venezia over 1.5 goals 61%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#16

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 59%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#17

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira over 1.5 goals 59%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%

#18

Eredivisie · Netherlands Heracles over 1.5 goals 58%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%

#19

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%

#20

Ekstraklasa · Poland Legia Warszawa over 1.5 goals 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Over 2.5 Goals Home Banker Goal Fest

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Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 5 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chelsea vs West Ham (Chelsea over 1.5 goals) at 82% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.