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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 10 March 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 10 March 2024. Fenerbahçe vs Pendikspor (Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals) sits top on 83% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 61%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 83%
Fenerbahçe
4 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 83%
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 76%
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin over 1.5 goals 70%
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 69%
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC over 1.5 goals 67%
Servette FC
3 : 1 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo over 1.5 goals 66%
Lecco
0 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 66%
Strasbourg
0 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 22%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 66%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 65%
Aston Villa
0 : 4 FT
Tottenham
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 76%
#11 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 65%
Brighton
1 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 64%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 64%
Arouca
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 37%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 77%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 64%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals 64%
Lamia
0 : 4 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 62%
Feyenoord
3 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United over 1.5 goals 62%
Muangthong United
4 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 62%
Real Madrid
4 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kasımpaşa over 1.5 goals 62%
İstanbulspor
1 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 61%
Slavia Praha
4 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 10 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Pendikspor (Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals) at 83% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.