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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 12 March 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 12 March 2024. Carlisle vs Barnsley (Barnsley over 1.5 goals) led the list at 73% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Barnsley over 1.5 goals 73%
Carlisle
2 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 9%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 76%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 League Two Β· England Wrexham over 1.5 goals 65%
Wrexham
0 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals 63%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera over 1.5 goals 62%
Union La Calera
0 : 2 FT
Cobreloa
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 League One Β· England Wycombe over 1.5 goals 60%
Wycombe
1 : 0 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 League One Β· England Derby over 1.5 goals 60%
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals 57%
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#8 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 55%
Swindon Town
1 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 12 March 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Carlisle vs Barnsley (Barnsley over 1.5 goals) at 73% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.