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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 21 October 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 21 October 2023. Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord (Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals) sits top on 83% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 62%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 83%
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 14%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#2 League One Β· England Charlton over 1.5 goals 77%
Charlton
4 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals 75%
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius over 1.5 goals 74%
Sirius
3 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 73%
Manchester City
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals 72%
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 61% Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 59%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 72%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 69%
Slovan Liberec
3 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 25%
Draw 20%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 68%
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 68%
Hamburger SV
2 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 67%
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 3 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 24%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#12 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 66%
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis over 1.5 goals 65%
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 65%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 65%
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi over 1.5 goals 65%
Ratchaburi
3 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals 64%
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 63%
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye over 1.5 goals 63%
Henan Jianye
6 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 62%
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 21 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord (Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals) at 83% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.