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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 24 October 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 24 October 2023. Wrexham vs Sutton Utd (Wrexham over 1.5 goals) led the list at 88% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Wrexham over 1.5 goals 88%
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 13%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 91% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
#2 League Two Β· England Notts County over 1.5 goals 70%
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden Orebro SK over 1.5 goals 70%
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals 68%
Lech Poznan
3 : 3 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 60%
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 League Two Β· England Walsall over 1.5 goals 60%
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 League One Β· England Barnsley over 1.5 goals 59%
Barnsley
3 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#8 League One Β· England Bristol Rovers over 1.5 goals 57%
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 24 October 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Wrexham vs Sutton Utd (Wrexham over 1.5 goals) at 88% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.