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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 26 April 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 April 2026. Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc sits top on 71% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 61% Fluminense Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
3 : 1 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
5 : 3 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
2 : 1 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 0 FT
Shenyang Urban
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
3 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
2 : 0 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Super League Β· China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Havre
4 : 4 FT
Metz
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#15 Super League Β· China
Dalian Zhixing
1 : 3 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Championship Β· England
Coventry
3 : 1 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Mirassol
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%

Showing top 17 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 26 April 2026?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc at 71% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.