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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Monday 6 April 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Monday 6 April 2026. Wycombe vs Bradford led the list at 71% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the home win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 1 FT
Ljungskile SK
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
1 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Championship Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61% Ipswich Clean Sheet 54%
#7 League Two Β· England
Notts County
3 : 1 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 2 FT
United Nordic
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 1 FT
Start
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
4 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 5 FT
Brann
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
3 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
0 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 16 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Monday 6 April 2026?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wycombe vs Bradford at 71% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.