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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Friday 5 February 2027

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 5 February 2027. FC Volendam vs Almere City FC sits top on 4.02 in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 4.02 down to 2.63, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
– : – 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 50%
Draw 20%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
– : – 19:00
MVV
Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
– : – 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
– : – 19:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
– : – 19:00
Emmen
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Reims
– : – 19:00
Nancy
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
– : – 19:00
Annecy
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
– : – 19:00
Dijon
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
– : – 19:00
De Graafschap
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
– : – 19:00
Dunkerque
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
– : – 19:00
PAU
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
– : – 19:00
Nantes
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
– : – 19:00
Montpellier
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 69%
BTTS No 57%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
– : – 19:00
Clermont Foot
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 14 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 5 February 2027?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Almere City FC at 4.02 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.