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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 9 November 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 November 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Sirius vs IFK Varnamo at 4.60 in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 4.60 down to 3.26, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the goal fest market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
3 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 5 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 34%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 19%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 75%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 0 FT
Bryne
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
0 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 4 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
2 : 2 FT
FC Sion
Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
5 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
3 : 0 FT
Gnistan
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 0 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
1 : 3 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 1 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Liverpool
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ayutthaya FC
1 : 3 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
4 : 3 FT
Deportes Limache
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
7 : 1 FT
SK Poltava
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 9 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sirius vs IFK Varnamo at 4.60 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.