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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 February 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 14 February 2027. Excelsior vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) tops the list at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 91%
Excelsior
– : – 16:00
Ajax
Win 9%
Draw 14%
Win 77%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 90%
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Athletic Club
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 57%
#3 La Liga · Spain Levante or draw 89%
Levante
– : – 16:00
Malaga
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 88%
AS Roma
– : – 17:30
Parma
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 85%
Galatasaray
– : – 12:00
Başakşehir
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 84%
Nacional
– : – 16:00
Sporting CP
Win 16%
Draw 18%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 83%
Benfica
– : – 16:00
Maritimo
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 83%
1. FC Nürnberg
– : – 12:30
Holstein Kiel
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 82%
Villarreal
– : – 16:00
Barcelona
Win 18%
Draw 19%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#10 La Liga · Spain Racing Santander or draw 81%
Racing Santander
– : – 16:00
Getafe
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal Arouca or draw 81%
Arouca
– : – 16:00
Estoril
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 81%
Moreirense
– : – 16:00
FC Porto
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey Konyaspor or draw 81%
Konyaspor
– : – 12:00
Erzurumspor FK
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Konyaspor Clean Sheet 55%
#14 Süper Lig · Turkey Amed or draw 80%
Amed
– : – 12:00
Kasımpaşa
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 80%
PSV Eindhoven
– : – 16:00
Twente
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 79%
Willem II
– : – 16:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey Göztepe or draw 78%
Gaziantep FK
– : – 12:00
Göztepe
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 78%
Feyenoord
– : – 16:00
NEC Nijmegen
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 78%
GO Ahead Eagles
– : – 16:00
PEC Zwolle
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey Çorum FK or draw 77%
Eyüpspor
– : – 12:00
Çorum FK
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 February 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.