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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 17 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda (Yunnan Yukun or draw) at 90% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Yunnan Yukun or draw 90%
Yunnan Yukun
0 : 3 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 89%
Inter
3 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Vitesse or draw 83%
Vitesse
0 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France Le Mans or draw 82%
Le Mans
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Como or draw 82%
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Como
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez or draw 81%
Rodez
3 : 2 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 81%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 2 FT
Rizespor
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 81%
Lens
3 : 2 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 81%
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Galway United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
#10 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 80%
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 20%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong PSV U21 or draw 80%
Jong PSV U21
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 80%
SV Elversberg
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland GKS Katowice or draw 79%
GKS Katowice
3 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Super League Β· China Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw 78%
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Super League Β· China Qingdao Jonoon or draw 78%
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 0 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 78%
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov or draw 77%
FC Rostov
0 : 1 FT
FC Sochi
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk or draw 77%
Kortrijk
3 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine Obolon'-Brovar or draw 76%
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 1 FT
SK Poltava
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria Grazer AK or draw 76%
Grazer AK
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 17 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda (Yunnan Yukun or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.