Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 24 January 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 24 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München or draw) at 97% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
97%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
91%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
89%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
88%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen or draw
88%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano or draw
88%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
87%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
86%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia or draw
85%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone or draw
85%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat or draw
85%
Championship · England
Bristol City or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
83%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Monza or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Cesena or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
82%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 24 January 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München or draw) at 97% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.