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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 25 January 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 25 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Barcelona vs Oviedo (Barcelona or draw) at 95% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 95%
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Oviedo
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 75%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 87%
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 86%
Brentford
0 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 86%
Atletico Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#5 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 85%
Arsenal
2 : 3 FT
Manchester United
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 85%
Famalicao
3 : 0 FT
Tondela
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 84%
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 84%
Feyenoord
4 : 2 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 83%
SC Braga
5 : 0 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 83%
Al Najma
1 : 3 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 82%
Benfica
4 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy Catanzaro or draw 80%
Catanzaro
0 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 80%
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece OFI or draw 79%
OFI
1 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 78%
FC Schalke 04
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 78%
Fenerbahçe
1 : 1 FT
Göztepe
Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 77%
Crystal Palace
1 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 23%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 77%
SV Elversberg
1 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 77%
Lille
1 : 4 FT
Strasbourg
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 77%
Anderlecht
0 : 0 FT
Dender
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 25 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Oviedo (Barcelona or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.