Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 26 September 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 26 September 2025. The strongest reading belongs to SHANGHAI SIPG vs Wuhan Three Towns (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 89% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
89%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan or draw
88%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
86%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock or draw
86%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
84%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden or draw
82%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo or draw
82%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes or draw
81%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
80%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol or draw
79%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble or draw
79%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg or draw
78%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch or draw
78%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne or draw
76%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw
76%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 26 September 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Wuhan Three Towns (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.