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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 27 September 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 September 2025. Forge vs Pacific FC (Forge or draw) sits top on 93% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge or draw 93%
Forge
4 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 92%
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 26%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 68% SK Beveren Clean Sheet 62%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 89%
Zenit
5 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 88%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 87%
Coventry
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 87%
Manchester City
5 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Santa Clara or draw 87%
Santa Clara
1 : 2 FT
Tondela
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Santa Clara Clean Sheet 56%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 86%
Ajax
2 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 86%
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 4 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 14%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 57%
#10 League Two Β· England Gillingham or draw 84%
Gillingham
0 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 84%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 84%
FC Rostov
0 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 83%
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 54%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 82%
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 82%
Monza
0 : 1 FT
Padova
Win 44%
Draw 38%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria Wolfsberger AC or draw 81%
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 81%
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#18 League One Β· England Bradford or draw 81%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#19 League Two Β· England Grimsby or draw 81%
Grimsby
7 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#20 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 81%
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Forge vs Pacific FC (Forge or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.