Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 28 September 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 September 2025. Barcelona vs Real Sociedad (Barcelona or draw) led the list at 92% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
92%
Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK or draw
91%
Premier League · Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala or draw
90%
Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF or draw
89%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United or draw
88%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K. or draw
86%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow or draw
86%
Serie B · Italy
Modena or draw
85%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles or draw
83%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio or draw
82%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa or draw
80%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda or draw
80%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin or draw
80%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
79%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso or draw
79%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
79%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 28 September 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Real Sociedad (Barcelona or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.