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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 23 September 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Tuesday 23 September 2025. Olympic Charleroi vs RSC Anderlecht II (RSC Anderlecht II or draw) led the list at 87% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Challenger Pro League supplies three of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RSC Anderlecht II or draw 87%
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Espanyol or draw 86%
Espanyol
2 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 82%
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France Montpellier or draw 82%
Montpellier
1 : 3 FT
Boulogne
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 81%
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Francs Borains or draw 80%
Francs Borains
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 78%
Levante
1 : 4 FT
Real Madrid
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 75%
KRC Genk II
0 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 25%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 23 September 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs RSC Anderlecht II (RSC Anderlecht II or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.