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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 31 August 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 31 August 2024. Orebro SK vs GIF Sundsvall (Orebro SK or draw) sits top on 91% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden Orebro SK or draw 91%
Orebro SK
0 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Orebro SK Clean Sheet 55%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 90%
Barcelona
7 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 88%
Mjallby AIF
3 : 1 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge or draw 86%
Forge
2 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 86%
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF or draw 84%
Osters IF
2 : 2 FT
Sandviken
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 84%
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
Lausanne
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 84%
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Parma
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
#9 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 83%
West Ham
1 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 83%
Sturm Graz
4 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 83%
Hamburger SV
4 : 1 FT
Preußen Münster
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 82%
Adana Demirspor
1 : 5 FT
Galatasaray
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden Degerfors IF or draw 82%
Degerfors IF
2 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Puszcza Niepołomice or draw 81%
Puszcza Niepołomice
0 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 81%
U. Catolica
2 : 2 FT
Deportes Iquique
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe or draw 80%
Göztepe
2 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Cracovia Krakow or draw 80%
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy Sudtirol or draw 80%
Sudtirol
1 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#19 Championship Β· England Oxford United or draw 79%
Oxford United
3 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 79%
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 31 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Orebro SK vs GIF Sundsvall (Orebro SK or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.