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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 30 August 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 30 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93 (Guingamp or draw) at 88% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp or draw 88%
Guingamp
3 : 4 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 82%
ADO Den Haag
0 : 5 FT
Excelsior
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Ajaccio or draw 82%
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Ruh Lviv or draw 82%
Ruh Lviv
5 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Fenerbahçe
3 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 80%
Vitesse
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 78%
Zulte Waregem
1 : 0 FT
Lokeren-Temse
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 77%
Telstar
0 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 77%
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 76%
Dordrecht
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 76%
Dundalk
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 24%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium AS Eupen or draw 76%
RWDM
2 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 76%
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61%
#14 Championship Β· England QPR or draw 75%
Luton
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 75%
Helmond Sport
3 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 30 August 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93 (Guingamp or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.