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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 23 May 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 23 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Taee (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 93% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 93%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 89%
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 80%
IK brage
0 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 79%
Al-Fateh
2 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland Waterford or draw 78%
Waterford
4 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Ternana or draw 78%
Ternana
0 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden Orebro SK or draw 76%
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
Utsikten
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Okhdood or draw 76%
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 23 May 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Taee (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.