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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 25 May 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 25 May 2024. AC Milan vs Salernitana (AC Milan or draw) sits top on 92% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 92%
AC Milan
3 : 3 FT
Salernitana
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 91%
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 88%
Polessya
2 : 0 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 88%
Real Madrid
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 62%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 87%
Gent
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 86%
Lech Poznan
1 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62% Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 53%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 86%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
4 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 86%
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 85%
Jagiellonia
3 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 83%
U. Catolica
4 : 1 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 83%
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 82%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 81%
KV Mechelen
3 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
#14 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Vancouver FC or draw 81%
Vancouver FC
2 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 81%
Hradec Králové
2 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Sivasspor or draw 81%
Sivasspor
2 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#17 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada York United or draw 80%
York United
2 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 79%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 77%
Excelsior
7 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 77%
Emmen
0 : 3 FT
NAC Breda
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 25 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Milan vs Salernitana (AC Milan or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.