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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 21 May 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 21 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Baniyas SC (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw) at 88% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies seven of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 88%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 88%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 4 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 12%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 86%
FC Basel 1893
0 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
#4 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 82%
Henan Jianye
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#5 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 81%
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne or draw 79%
Lausanne
0 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 78%
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 76%
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#9 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 76%
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Super League Β· China Sichuan Jiuniu or draw 75%
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 21 May 2024?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Baniyas SC (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.