🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 18 May 2024

Wed 15 Thu 16 Fri 17 Sat 18 Sun 19 Mon 20 Tue 21

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 18 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Chaves (Sporting CP or draw) at 94% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Sporting CP Clean Sheet 53%

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% SHANGHAI SIPG Clean Sheet 57%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 92%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 92%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 56%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 84%

VfB Stuttgart

4 : 0 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 63%

Draw 20%

Win 16%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%

Superettan · Sweden Skövde AIK or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 73% ✓ Skövde AIK Clean Sheet 60%

#10

Premier League · Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 83%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 82%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey Ankaragücü or draw 82%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria Wolfsberger AC or draw 80%

#14

Canadian Premier League · Canada Pacific FC or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#15

Primera División · Chile Everton de Vina or draw 79%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%

#16

Ekstraklasa · Poland Korona Kielce or draw 78%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 78%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 78%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#19

Thai League 1 · Thailand Prachuap or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#20

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 78%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Chaves (Sporting CP or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.