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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 19 May 2024

Thu 16 Fri 17 Sat 18 Sun 19 Mon 20 Tue 21 Wed 22

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 May 2024. Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord or draw) led the list at 96% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 96%

✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 91%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 56%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Khon Kaen United or draw 88%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 86%

#10

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 86%

Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#11

Canadian Premier League · Canada Cavalry FC or draw 85%

#12

Veikkausliiga · Finland KuPS or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#13

Superettan · Sweden Landskrona BoIS or draw 85%

#14

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 85%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%

#15

K League 1 · South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 84%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%

#16

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#17

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#18

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 72%

#19

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 83%

#20

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 19 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.