Lausanne 0-0 Grasshoppers – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Lausanne at 53% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Lausanne vs Grasshoppers encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Lausanne host Grasshoppers at Stade de la Tuilière in Super League, Relegation Round - 5. Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday 21 May 2024 at 19:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Lausanne stand at 4W 3D 3L from 10 Super League matches — 1.50 PPG. Last five: L L D L W. They are averaging 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their games — a low BTTS rate that suggests clean sheets are a regular occurrence.
Lausanne's home record at Stade de la Tuilière: 3W 4D 3L from 10 Super League appearances (1.30 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
Across all Super League games this season, Grasshoppers have recorded 2W 2D 6L from 10 outings — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L W D W L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
Grasshoppers away from home this season: 1W 3D 6L from 10 away games — 0.60 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
On current form, Lausanne have the edge — a 0.70 PPG advantage (1.50 vs 0.80) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 1 wins apiece for Lausanne, 0 for Grasshoppers and 0 shared spoils from 1 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
These sides have historically produced few goals — 1.0 per contest from 1 previous meetings. The Under 2.5 market has a well-supported historical case here. The most recent clash, on 1 Apr 2024, ended 1–0 with Lausanne winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading Patterns
Lausanne in-play and half-time data (37 games, 18 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 39% of games (home games).
Grasshoppers in-play and half-time data (37 games, 18 at away): they score before half-time in 72% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 90% of the time; BTTS occurs in 44% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 39% of games (away games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Lausanne 60% versus Grasshoppers 49%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Lausanne 57% | Grasshoppers 40%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Lausanne 1.50 xG and Grasshoppers 0.83 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Lausanne attack 0.990 / defence 1.045 | Grasshoppers attack 0.720 / defence 1.046. League average goals — home 1.451 / away 1.108. Data: 33 Lausanne games / 69 Grasshoppers games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Lausanne 53% | Draw 26% | Grasshoppers 21%. Fair-value odds: Lausanne 1.89 | Draw 3.85 | Grasshoppers 4.76. Lausanne hold a narrow Poisson edge at 53% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 41% | BTTS probability 44% | Total xG 2.34. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 59% — total xG of 2.34 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 44% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Lausanne at 53% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Lausanne offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.34 combined xG gives a 41% probability to Under 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.0 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 44% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Lausanne 40% | Grasshoppers 30% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Lausanne vs Grasshoppers | Competition: Super League, Relegation Round - 5 | Venue: Stade de la Tuilière • Kick-off: Tuesday 21 May 2024, 19:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Lausanne 53% | Draw 26% | Grasshoppers 21% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 41% | BTTS 44% | xG Lausanne 1.50 / Grasshoppers 0.83 • Poisson strength factors: Lausanne attack 0.990 / def 1.045 | Grasshoppers attack 0.720 / def 1.046 | league avg home 1.451 / away 1.108 • Poisson stance: Lausanne (53%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.50
Lausanne xG
Expected Goals
0.83
Grasshoppers xG
44%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Lausanne vs Grasshoppers kick off?
Lausanne vs Grasshoppers kicked off at 19:30 on Tuesday 21 May 2024 at Stade de la Tuilière.
What was the final score in Lausanne vs Grasshoppers?
Lausanne 0 - 0 Grasshoppers.
Where is Lausanne vs Grasshoppers being played?
The match is being played at Stade de la Tuilière.
What competition is Lausanne vs Grasshoppers part of?
Lausanne vs Grasshoppers is a Relegation Round - 5 fixture in the Super League (Switzerland).
Who is favourite to win Lausanne vs Grasshoppers?
Our statistical model gives Lausanne a 53% chance of winning, Grasshoppers a 21% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Lausanne the favourite.
Will both teams score in Lausanne vs Grasshoppers?
Our model estimates a 44% probability that both Lausanne and Grasshoppers will score (BTTS).
Will Lausanne vs Grasshoppers have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 41%.
What is the head-to-head record between Lausanne and Grasshoppers?
Record (1 meetings): Lausanne 1W | Draws 0 | Grasshoppers 0W.
What form are Lausanne and Grasshoppers in?
Lausanne (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-L-D-L-W. Grasshoppers (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-W-D-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Lausanne's attacking strength (0.99x league average) is weighed against Grasshoppers's defensive record (1.05x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.50. The same calculation in reverse, Grasshoppers's attack versus Lausanne's defence, projects 0.83 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 33/69 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.7%. Close behind: 1-0 (13.0%), 0-0 (11.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Lausanne Win
53%
1.89
26%
3.83
21%
4.80
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
2 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.50
Lausanne xG
Total xG
2.34
0.83
Grasshoppers xG
1.89
53%
Home win
3.83
26%
Draw
4.80
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.78
Clean Sheet
43%
2.30
22%
4.50
Win to Nil
23%
4.34
5%
21.58
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.5 | 12.1 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.9 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Lausanne vs Grasshoppers?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.7%.
How many goals are Lausanne and Grasshoppers expected to score?
The model projects 1.50 expected goals for Lausanne and 0.83 for Grasshoppers, a combined total of 2.34.
How confident is the prediction model for Lausanne vs Grasshoppers?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 53%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Lausanne's recent record stands at 11W 11D 15L from 37 games, a 1.19 PPG return, with L-L-D-L-W in the last five.
Grasshoppers, meanwhile, have gone 10W 7D 20L across 37 games — 1.00 PPG, with L-W-D-W-L in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: Lausanne on 1.19 PPG, Grasshoppers on 1.00. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
At home specifically, Lausanne have managed 7W 6D 5L from 18 games — 1.50 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Grasshoppers's away record stands at 2W 4D 12L across 18 trips, a 0.56 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 1.00 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Grasshoppers's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Lausanne come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Lausanne are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game recently; Grasshoppers are on 1.11 scored and 1.32 conceded.
Last 37 Results — Super League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Lausanne
Current Season
Grasshoppers
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Lausanne and Grasshoppers in coming into this match?
Lausanne have gone 11W 11D 15L in their last 37 games (1.19 PPG), while Grasshoppers have gone 10W 7D 20L in their last 37 (1.00 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Lausanne at home or Grasshoppers away?
Lausanne's home record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Lausanne at home: 1.50 PPG; Grasshoppers away: 0.56 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to April 2024. Every recorded meeting has come in Super League. The two were last together as recently as 25 July 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 26 Oct 2024, when Lausanne won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Lausanne's record when hosting Grasshoppers specifically: 1W 4D 1L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Lausanne
5
Draws
2
Grasshoppers
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Lausanne and Grasshoppers?
From 10 meetings on record, Lausanne have won 3, Grasshoppers have won 2, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Lausanne and Grasshoppers last play each other?
They last met on 25 July 2026, when Lausanne 1-1 Grasshoppers.
Who has won more matches between Lausanne and Grasshoppers?
Lausanne have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Lausanne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 28% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Grasshoppers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 72% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Lausanne 50%, Grasshoppers 44% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 39% (Lausanne) and 39% (Grasshoppers).
On the defensive side: Lausanne keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Lausanne have failed to score in 28% of games; Grasshoppers in 44%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Lausanne home games / Grasshoppers away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Lausanne play Grasshoppers?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of Lausanne's recent matches and 44% of Grasshoppers's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Lausanne vs Grasshoppers usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 39% of Lausanne's recent games and 39% of Grasshoppers's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Lausanne and Grasshoppers tend to score early?
Lausanne have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, Grasshoppers in 72% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Lausanne's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Lausanne and Grasshoppers finished level at 0-0 at Stade de la Tuilière, Relegation Round - 5, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Lausanne 1.50 xG and Grasshoppers 0.83 xG, a combined 2.34. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Lausanne fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Grasshoppers landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lausanne attack 0.99 / defence 1.04 against Grasshoppers attack 0.72 / defence 1.05, drawn from 33/69 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Lausanne 53% | Draw 26% | Grasshoppers 21%, with Lausanne to win its most likely call at 53%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lausanne 57%, Grasshoppers 40%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Lausanne's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.
Grasshoppers's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Lausanne 1.19 PPG, Grasshoppers 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Lausanne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.39 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.56 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.