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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Monday 1 April 2024

Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 31 Mon 1 Tue 2 Wed 3 Thu 4

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 1 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bologna vs Salernitana (Bologna or draw) at 91% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 87%

League One · England Lincoln or draw 87%

League One · England Bolton or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Damac or draw 84%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Superettan · Sweden IK brage or draw 82%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%

League One · England Barnsley or draw 81%

#10

Ekstraklasa · Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 81%

#11

Championship · England Leeds or draw 80%

#12

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 80%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

#13

Championship · England Coventry or draw 79%

#14

League One · England Northampton or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#15

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 79%

#16

Superettan · Sweden Orebro SK or draw 78%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

#17

Super League · Switzerland Grasshoppers or draw 78%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

#18

Ekstraklasa · Poland Stal Mielec or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#19

League Two · England Walsall or draw 78%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 78%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 1 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bologna vs Salernitana (Bologna or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.