Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 30 March 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 March 2024. Raków Częstochowa vs Ruch Chorzów (Raków Częstochowa or draw) led the list at 91% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa or draw
91%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen or draw
91%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
91%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
90%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
88%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
87%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC or draw
85%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano or draw
85%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia or draw
84%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
84%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
83%
Premier League · England
Fulham or draw
83%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
83%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne or draw
82%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
82%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa or draw
81%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
81%
Premier League · England
Newcastle or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 March 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Raków Częstochowa vs Ruch Chorzów (Raków Częstochowa or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.