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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 29 March 2024

Tue 26 Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 31 Mon 1

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 29 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Benfica vs Chaves (Benfica or draw) at 93% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 93%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Benfica Clean Sheet 54%

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Vienna or draw 91%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 56%

League One · England Peterborough or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Championship · England Norwich or draw 87%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Premier League · Russia Dynamo or draw 84%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

Championship · England Preston or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Telstar or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#10

League One · England Reading or draw 81%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%

#11

La Liga · Spain Cadiz or draw 81%

#12

League One · England Lincoln or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#13

League One · England Derby or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#14

League One · England Barnsley or draw 80%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

#15

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#16

Championship · England West Brom or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

#17

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 80%

#18

Championship · England Leeds or draw 80%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

#19

League Two · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 29 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Chaves (Benfica or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.