Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 3 April 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Wednesday 3 April 2024. Arsenal vs Luton (Arsenal or draw) sits top on 90% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
90%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United or draw
86%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
82%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United or draw
80%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
80%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
79%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab or draw
78%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
77%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United or draw
76%
Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 3 April 2024?
13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Luton (Arsenal or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.