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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 4 April 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 4 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to FC Volendam vs Feyenoord (Feyenoord or draw) at 96% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 96%
FC Volendam
0 : 0 FT
Feyenoord
Win 4%
Draw 9%
Win 87%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 91%
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 89%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ BSC Young Boys Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 88%
Samsunspor
0 : 0 FT
Pendikspor
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 85%
FC Luzern
1 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 79%
Ajax
1 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 76%
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne or draw 76%
Lausanne
3 : 3 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 4 April 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Feyenoord (Feyenoord or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.