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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 4 February 2024

Thu 1 Fri 2 Sat 3 Sun 4 Mon 5 Tue 6 Wed 7

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 4 February 2024. Benfica vs GIL Vicente (Benfica or draw) sits top on 89% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 89%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hannover 96 or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 87%

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Super League 1 · Greece OFI or draw 87%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 85%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 85%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 65%

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 84%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#10

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 82%

#11

Primeira Liga · Portugal Estoril or draw 82%

#12

Super League · Switzerland Servette FC or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#13

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 80%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

#14

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 79%

#15

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Anderlecht or draw 79%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%

#16

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 79%

#17

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 78%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 78%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

#19

Challenger Pro League · Belgium KRC Genk II or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#20

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 77%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 4 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs GIL Vicente (Benfica or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.