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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 2 February 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 2 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Athletic Club vs Mallorca (Athletic Club or draw) at 86% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 86%
Athletic Club
4 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV or draw 82%
MVV
6 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 82%
FC OSS
1 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 82%
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 80%
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RSC Anderlecht II or draw 79%
Standard Liège II
0 : 1 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 78%
Samsunspor
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 22%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Hatayspor or draw 78%
Hatayspor
3 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Willem II or draw 75%
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 2 February 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Athletic Club vs Mallorca (Athletic Club or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.