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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 24 February 2023

Tue 21 Wed 22 Thu 23 Fri 24 Sat 25 Sun 26 Mon 27

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 February 2023. Frosinone vs Parma (Frosinone or draw) led the list at 88% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 88%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 62% Frosinone Clean Sheet 54%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Abha or draw 84%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 84%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 84%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 84%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3 : 1 FT

Eintracht Braunschweig

✓ Win 65%

Draw 19%

Win 16%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 84%

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 82%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 82%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 80%

FSV Mainz 05

4 : 0 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 59%

Draw 22%

Win 20%

✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%

#11

Primeira Liga · Portugal Famalicao or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 80%

#13

Super League 1 · Greece Volos NFC or draw 79%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Heracles or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

#16

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Lommel United or draw 77%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 76%

#18

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Adalah or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 24 February 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Parma (Frosinone or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.