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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 25 February 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 25 February 2023. AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis (AEK Athens FC or draw) sits top on 97% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 97%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 64%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 91%

Championship · England Burnley or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%

League One · England Bolton or draw 89%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 67% Bolton Clean Sheet 60%

League Two · England Stevenage or draw 86%

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 86%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 86%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · England West Ham or draw 86%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 84%

#10

Thai League 1 · Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#11

Eredivisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Valenciennes or draw 83%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 83%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%

#14

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#15

Serie B · Italy Como or draw 82%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany Werder Bremen or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%

#17

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 81%

#18

League One · England Lincoln or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

#19

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 81%

#20

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 25 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis (AEK Athens FC or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.