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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 26 February 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs Twente (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 91%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Twente
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 89%
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
BTTS No 54%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%
FC Porto
1 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 85%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient or draw 84%
Lorient
0 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 84%
Colo Colo
2 : 3 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 84%
Athletic Club
2 : 3 FT
Girona
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 83%
Servette FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 83%
FK Jablonec
4 : 1 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 82%
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 82%
Beşiktaş
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims or draw 82%
Reims
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece OFI or draw 82%
Ionikos
0 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 18%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 82%
Vitesse
1 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Khon Kaen United or draw 81%
Khon Kaen United
3 : 2 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% Khon Kaen United Clean Sheet 55%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 81%
Celta Vigo
3 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 80%
Ümraniyespor
1 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 80%
Prachuap
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 80%
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 20%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 26 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Twente (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.