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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 12 February 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 February 2023. Twente vs FC Volendam (Twente or draw) led the list at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 91%
Twente
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Twente Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 91%
Napoli
3 : 0 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 86%
Bangkok United
3 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 86%
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Bari or draw 84%
Bari
2 : 1 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 84%
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 84%
Genk
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#8 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 84%
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 83%
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 82%
Plzen
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 82%
FC Zurich
1 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims or draw 81%
Reims
4 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 81%
Heerenveen
1 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 81%
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 43%
Draw 38%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Standard Liege or draw 80%
Standard Liege
0 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 79%
Lille
2 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chiangrai United or draw 79%
Lampang FC
0 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 78%
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 1 FT
Pardubice
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 78%
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 78%
U. Catolica
3 : 3 FT
Cobresal
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Twente vs FC Volendam (Twente or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.