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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 11 February 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 11 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno (Slavia Praha or draw) at 94% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 94%
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 94%
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 94%
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 League One Β· England Morecambe or draw 90%
Morecambe
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 86%
Clermont Foot
0 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 14%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 86%
Swindon Town
0 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 86%
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 85%
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 84%
Baník Ostrava
1 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 83%
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Frosinone Clean Sheet 54%
#11 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 83%
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#12 Premier League Β· England Fulham or draw 82%
Fulham
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 League Two Β· England Stevenage or draw 82%
Stevenage
2 : 3 FT
Bradford
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 67% Stevenage Clean Sheet 54%
#14 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 82%
Barnsley
2 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 82%
SK Beveren
5 : 2 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 82%
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 81%
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 80%
RB Leipzig
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 80%
Arsenal
1 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Baniyas SC or draw 80%
Al Bataeh
3 : 3 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 20%
Draw 18%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno (Slavia Praha or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.