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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 14 February 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 14 February 2023. Sheffield Wednesday vs Morecambe (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) led the list at 94% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 94%
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 89%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Championship Β· England Burnley or draw 87%
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab or draw 86%
Al Shabab
2 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 League Two Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 86%
Leyton Orient
2 : 1 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 70% Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%
#6 League One Β· England Derby or draw 84%
Derby
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#7 Championship Β· England Reading or draw 82%
Reading
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#8 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 81%
Forest Green
0 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
#9 League Two Β· England Stockport County or draw 81%
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#10 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 80%
Accrington ST
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 20%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Championship Β· England Hull City or draw 79%
Norwich
3 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#12 League One Β· England Shrewsbury or draw 79%
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 League Two Β· England Carlisle or draw 78%
Carlisle
0 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 78%
Port Vale
1 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 22%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#15 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 78%
Bolton
5 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#16 Championship Β· England Birmingham or draw 76%
Birmingham
0 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#17 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 76%
Northampton
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#18 League One Β· England Portsmouth or draw 75%
Portsmouth
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 14 February 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Morecambe (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.