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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 4 September 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF (BK Hacken or draw) at 93% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 87%

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 86%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 62%

Super League · Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 86%

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 70%

#10

2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 85%

Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Super League · Switzerland Grasshoppers or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

#12

Serie A · Brazil America Mineiro or draw 83%

#13

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 82%

#14

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 81%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% Fortaleza EC Clean Sheet 54%

#15

Serie A · Italy Hellas Verona or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 80%

Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 71% Corinthians Clean Sheet 56%

#17

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 80%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 79%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%

#19

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 79%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 4 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF (BK Hacken or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.