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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 3 September 2022

Wed 31 Thu 1 Fri 2 Sat 3 Sun 4 Mon 5 Tue 6

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 3 September 2022. SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) sits top on 91% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 91%

Over 2.5 92% BTTS Yes 77%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 61%

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 88%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Austria Sturm Graz or draw 88%

Premier League · England Nottingham Forest or draw 88%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · Russia Dynamo or draw 85%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

Super League · China Tianjin Teda or draw 84%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%

#10

League Two · England Salford City or draw 84%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%

#11

Ligue 1 · France Lyon or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%

#12

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 83%

#13

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 83%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#14

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#15

League Two · England Carlisle or draw 83%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% Carlisle Clean Sheet 56%

#16

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 82%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 82%

#18

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

#19

Serie B · Italy Reggina or draw 82%

#20

Championship · England Rotherham or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 3 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.