Slavia Praha 6-0 Teplice – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Slavia Praha at 78% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Slavia Praha vs Teplice encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Teplice make the trip to Fortuna Arena to face Slavia Praha in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 6. The match kicks off on Wednesday 31 August 2022 at 19:00 UTC.
Form
Slavia Praha (all games): 5W 2D 3L across 10 Czech Liga fixtures this term — 1.70 PPG. Last five: L W W W W. They are averaging 2.70 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Slavia Praha have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Slavia Praha at Fortuna Arena this season: 8W 1D 1L from 10 home games — 2.50 PPG on home soil. They are averaging 2.70 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 7 clean sheets from 10 home games (70%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Fortuna Arena. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle. Their home PPG of 2.50 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.70 — Slavia Praha are significantly better at Fortuna Arena than their overall form suggests.
Teplice's overall Czech Liga record this term: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games (1.00 PPG). Last five: D L L W D. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Teplice have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, Teplice have gone 3W 3D 4L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game.
The form ledger tips toward Slavia Praha. A 0.70 PPG lead over Teplice (1.70 vs 1.00) is a consistent enough margin to carry weight. If the win odds appear compressed, Draw No Bet offers draw insurance at a lower cost than a full switch to Double Chance.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Slavia Praha lead 2W to 0W over the last 2 encounters, with 0 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 3.5 per game across 2 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 28 Nov 2021, ended 3–0 with Slavia Praha winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.5 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Data
Slavia Praha goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (40 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 79% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; they lead at the break 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 32% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 42%; they keep a clean sheet 48% of the time.
Teplice goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (40 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 84% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (away games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Slavia Praha 42% versus Teplice 45%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Slavia Praha 58% | Teplice 58%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Slavia Praha 3.06 xG and Teplice 0.99 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Slavia Praha attack 1.704 / defence 0.738 | Teplice attack 0.971 / defence 1.252. League average goals — home 1.436 / away 1.377. Slavia Praha carry an above-average attack strength of 1.704 — their λ of 3.06 reflects genuine attacking quality above the league norm. Teplice bring a strong defensive rating of 1.252 — this is suppressing Slavia Praha's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Slavia Praha's defence rating of 0.738 is below average — the home backline is amplifying the visitor's projected output. Data: 35 Slavia Praha games / 35 Teplice games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Slavia Praha 78% | Draw 14% | Teplice 8%. Fair-value odds: Slavia Praha 1.28 | Draw 7.14 | Teplice 12.50. The model has a clear lean to Slavia Praha (78%) — a 70pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 77% | BTTS probability 60% | Total xG 4.05. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 77% — a total xG of 4.05 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 60% reflects that both xG figures (3.06 / 0.99) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Slavia Praha as the most likely outcome at 78% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support.
The Poisson model projects 4.05 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 77% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 60% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. This conflicts with form data: Slavia Praha 30% | Teplice 50% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Slavia Praha vs Teplice | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 6 | Venue: Fortuna Arena • Kick-off: Wednesday 31 Aug 2022, 19:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Slavia Praha 78% | Draw 14% | Teplice 8% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 77% | BTTS 60% | xG Slavia Praha 3.06 / Teplice 0.99 • Poisson strength factors: Slavia Praha attack 1.704 / def 0.738 | Teplice attack 0.971 / def 1.252 | league avg home 1.436 / away 1.377 • Poisson stance: Slavia Praha (78%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
3.06
Slavia Praha xG
Expected Goals
0.99
Teplice xG
60%
BTTS
92%
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Slavia Praha vs Teplice kick off?
Slavia Praha vs Teplice kicked off at 19:00 on Wednesday 31 August 2022 at Fortuna Arena.
What was the final score in Slavia Praha vs Teplice?
Slavia Praha 6 - 0 Teplice.
Where is Slavia Praha vs Teplice being played?
The match is being played at Fortuna Arena.
What competition is Slavia Praha vs Teplice part of?
Slavia Praha vs Teplice is a Regular Season - 6 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Slavia Praha vs Teplice?
Our statistical model gives Slavia Praha a 78% chance of winning, Teplice a 8% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw — making Slavia Praha the favourite.
Will both teams score in Slavia Praha vs Teplice?
Our model estimates a 60% probability that both Slavia Praha and Teplice will score (BTTS).
Will Slavia Praha vs Teplice have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Slavia Praha and Teplice?
Record (2 meetings): Slavia Praha 2W | Draws 0 | Teplice 0W.
What form are Slavia Praha and Teplice in?
Slavia Praha (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 2.70 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-W-W-W-W. Teplice (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.60 | L5 D-L-L-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Slavia Praha's attacking strength (1.70x league average) is weighed against Teplice's defensive record (1.25x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 3.06. Flip it around — Teplice's attack (0.97x) against Slavia Praha's defence (0.74x) — and the away total comes out at 0.99.
These ratings are built from 35/35 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 3-0, at 8.3%. Close behind: 3-1 (8.2%), 2-0 (8.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 25% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Slavia Praha Win
78%
1.28
14%
7.23
8%
12.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
3 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.2%
Home win
3 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
3.06
Slavia Praha xG
Total xG
4.05
0.99
Teplice xG
1.28
78%
Home win
7.23
14%
Draw
12.15
8%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
77%
Over 2.5
1.30
23%
Under 2.5
4.35
58%
Over 3.5
1.72
42%
Under 3.5
2.38
38%
Over 4.5
2.63
62%
Under 4.5
1.61
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.66
40%
BTTS No
2.53
Clean Sheet
37%
2.68
5%
21.39
Win to Nil
29%
3.44
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | – |
| 5 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Slavia Praha vs Teplice?
Our Poisson model rates 3-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 8.3%.
How many goals are Slavia Praha and Teplice expected to score?
The model projects 3.06 expected goals for Slavia Praha and 0.99 for Teplice, a combined total of 4.05.
How confident is the prediction model for Slavia Praha vs Teplice?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 78%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 40 outings, Slavia Praha have picked up 2.25 PPG on a 28W 6D 6L record — L-W-W-W-W across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Slavia Praha, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Teplice's form line: 10W 8D 22L from 40 games, 0.95 PPG, last five D-L-L-W-D. It's still early in the season for Teplice, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Put side by side, Slavia Praha are the form team by 1.30 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Teplice.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Slavia Praha have posted 2.58 PPG from 19 outings (16W 1D 2L).
On the road, Teplice have gone 4W 4D 11L from 19 away games — 0.84 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Slavia Praha come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Slavia Praha are averaging 2.45 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game recently; Teplice are on 1.05 scored and 1.65 conceded.
Defensively: Slavia Praha have kept a clean sheet in 48% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 40 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Slavia Praha
Early Season
Teplice
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Slavia Praha and Teplice in coming into this match?
Slavia Praha have gone 28W 6D 6L in their last 40 games (2.25 PPG), while Teplice have gone 10W 8D 22L in their last 40 (0.95 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Slavia Praha at home or Teplice away?
Slavia Praha's home record (2.58 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Slavia Praha at home: 2.58 PPG; Teplice away: 0.84 PPG.
Have Slavia Praha or Teplice been keeping clean sheets recently?
Slavia Praha have kept a clean sheet in 48% of their recent games, Teplice in 22%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to July 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Czech Liga. They last met on 5 December 2025, roughly 8 months ago.
Notable Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Slavia Praha have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Slavia Praha won 6-0 on 31 Aug 2022, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Slavia Praha have gone 5W 0D 0L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Teplice — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
7
Slavia Praha
2
Draws
1
Teplice
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Slavia Praha and Teplice?
From 10 meetings on record, Slavia Praha have won 7, Teplice have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Slavia Praha and Teplice last play each other?
They last met on 5 December 2025, when Teplice 1-2 Slavia Praha.
Who has won more matches between Slavia Praha and Teplice?
Slavia Praha have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Slavia Praha are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 79% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 74% of the time.
Teplice are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 84% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Slavia Praha 32%, Teplice 53% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 58% for Slavia Praha and 68% for Teplice. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 32% and 42% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Slavia Praha keep a clean sheet in 63% of their matches; Teplice in 37%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Slavia Praha home games / Teplice away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Slavia Praha play Teplice?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 32% of Slavia Praha's recent matches and 53% of Teplice's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Slavia Praha vs Teplice usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 58% of Slavia Praha's matches and 68% of Teplice's.
Do Slavia Praha and Teplice tend to score early?
Slavia Praha have had a goal before half-time in 79% of their recent matches, Teplice in 84% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Slavia Praha run riot with a 6-0 hammering of Teplice.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Slavia Praha beat Teplice 6-0 at Fortuna Arena, Regular Season - 6, in the Czech Liga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Slavia Praha 3.06 xG and Teplice 0.99 xG, a combined 4.05. The scoreboard read 6-0 for 6 actual goals. Slavia Praha beat their projection by 2.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Teplice landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Slavia Praha attack 1.70 / defence 0.74 against Teplice attack 0.97 / defence 1.25, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Slavia Praha 78% | Draw 14% | Teplice 8%, with Slavia Praha to win its most likely call at 78%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 77%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 92% and landed. Over 3.5 was 58% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Slavia Praha 58%, Teplice 58%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Slavia Praha's trading profile (40 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 48% of the time, and duly kept one.
Teplice's trading profile (40 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Slavia Praha arrived the stronger side — 2.25 PPG against 0.95. That form edge translated into the three points. Slavia Praha (home/away splits) scored 6 against a 2.58 average — above their attacking norm. Teplice (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.16 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 6 against a 2.21 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.